La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Harrogate Town v Barnet
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Harrogate Town (Local)
Predicción 34.40%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.941%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.68%34.44%34.27%37.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.642.652.8840.32%37.82%37.74%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barnet (Visitante)
Predicción 39.07%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.378%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.244%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.99%39.05%39.09%40.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.402.402.5547.62%41.59%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.54%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.486%
Ventaja -0.130%
Kelly -0.177%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%26.51%26.64%27.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.453.7532.26%28.78%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%EV -0.941%E -0.327%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.80%E -3.31%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -9.36%E -4.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -9.36%E -4.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.38%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -8.97%E -3.85%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -8.71%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -4.72%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.14%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.93%E -4.79%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.10%E -5.38%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.81%E -0.490%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 08:21 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.19%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.96%E -8.55%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.30%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.35%EV -9.75%E -4.22%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -0.486%E -0.130%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.02%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -14.05%E -6.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -12.29%E -4.82%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.19%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -14.01%E -5.60%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -0.378%E -0.148%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |