Language:English
Grimsby Town v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 40.45%2.47fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.37%40.52%40.32%42.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.272.302.3746.30%44.12%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 31.79%3.15fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.45%31.74%31.90%32.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.953.0035.71%34.02%33.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.76%3.60fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%27.74%27.78%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.353.4331.25%30.05%29.85%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 40.45%; Salford City (Visit): 31.79%; Draw: 27.76%. For Grimsby Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -4.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.91%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.77%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.48%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -8.11%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 18:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 18:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.39%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.98%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 18:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.38%E -3.22%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.39%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.98%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 18:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |