La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Salford City

Inicio: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 40.45%2.47momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.37%40.52%40.32%42.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.272.302.3746.30%44.12%43.48%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 31.79%3.15momio equitativo
EV -4.62%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.45%31.74%31.90%32.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.942.953.0035.71%34.02%33.90%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.76%3.60momio equitativo
EV -4.77%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.90%27.74%27.78%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.333.353.4331.25%30.05%29.85%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.91%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.77%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:05
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:50
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:10
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.48%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -8.11%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 19:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:45
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 18:45
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 18:45
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:50
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 14:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:53
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 18:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 18:48
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.39%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 15:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:35
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.98%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 18:46
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.38%E -3.22%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.39%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 18:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.98%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-02 14:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:46
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:24
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 14:24
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 14:25
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 14:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 19:15
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-03-03 19:20