L’École des cotes

Grimsby Town v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prévision 40.45%2.47cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.37%40.52%40.32%42.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.162.272.302.3746.30%44.12%43.48%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.79%3.15cote équitable
EV -4.62%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.45%31.74%31.90%32.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.953.0035.71%34.02%33.90%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.76%3.60cote équitable
EV -4.77%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.90%27.74%27.78%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.333.353.4331.25%30.05%29.85%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.91%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.82%EV -4.77%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:05
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:50
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:10
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.48%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -8.11%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 19:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 18:45
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 18:45
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 18:45
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:50
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.17%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.17%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 14:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:53
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 18:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 18:48
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.39%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 15:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:35
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.44%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 18:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.98%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.16%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 18:46
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.38%E -3.22%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.21%E -2.11%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 18:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.39%E -3.30%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.77%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 18:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.98%E -3.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-02 14:04
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.61%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 18:46
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:24
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -11.83%E -5.43%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 14:24
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 14:25
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -12.64%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -7.00%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 19:15
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-03-03 19:35
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68%1.7%2026-03-03 19:20