Language:English
Grimsby Town v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.17%42.00%44.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.162.152.2549.50%46.38%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -0.691%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.29%29.11%29.25%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.12%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.75%3.48fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%28.72%28.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.03%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 42.04%; Salford City (Visit): 29.21%; Draw: 28.75%. For Salford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.691%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.25%E -0.663%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -6.24%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -7.43%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -10.30%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 13:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -4.55%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.43%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.691%E -0.203%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -17.20%E -5.97%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-10 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -13.39%E -6.50%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -13.39%E -6.50%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 13:05 |