A Escola das Odds

Grimsby Town v Salford City

Início: 2026-05-10 14:00 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 1–2 Salford City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Previsão 42.04%2.38odd justa
EV -5.40%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%42.17%42.00%44.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.022.162.152.2549.50%46.38%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Salford City (Visitante)

Previsão 29.21%3.42odd justa
EV -0.691%
Vantagem -0.203%
Kelly -0.288%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.29%29.11%29.25%30.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.12%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.75%3.48odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.663%
Kelly -0.939%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.72%28.72%28.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.03%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.25%E -0.663%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:04
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:03
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:05
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -6.24%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -7.43%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -10.30%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 13:03
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:44
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -4.55%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 13:05
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:05
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:04
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.43%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.691%E -0.203%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:04
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 12:59
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 13:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -17.20%E -5.97%K -9.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-10 08:44
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -13.39%E -6.50%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:04
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -13.39%E -6.50%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:04
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 13:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-10 13:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-10 13:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-05-10 13:05