مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grimsby Town v Salford City

البداية: 2026-05-10 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Grimsby Town 1–2 Salford City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grimsby Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.04%2.38السعر العادل
EV -5.40%
الأفضلية -2.40%
Kelly -4.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%42.17%42.00%44.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.022.162.152.2549.50%46.38%46.51%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Salford City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.21%3.42السعر العادل
EV -0.691%
الأفضلية -0.203%
Kelly -0.288%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.29%29.11%29.25%30.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.12%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.75%3.48السعر العادل
EV -2.25%
الأفضلية -0.663%
Kelly -0.939%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.72%28.72%28.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.03%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.25%E -0.663%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:04
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:03
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:05
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.67%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.21%EV -6.24%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -7.43%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 13:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -10.30%E -3.30%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 13:03
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 08:44
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -3.03%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.72%EV -4.55%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 13:05
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:05
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.47%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:04
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.43%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:04
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.691%E -0.203%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 13:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:04
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.88%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 08:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 13:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 12:59
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:04
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.75%E -4.58%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.00%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 13:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -17.20%E -5.97%K -9.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-10 08:44
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -13.39%E -6.50%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:04
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -13.39%E -6.50%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.13%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:04
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:04
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -14.23%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -6.57%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:05
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 13:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -15.07%E -7.46%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.00%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 13:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-10 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-10 13:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-10 13:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-05-10 13:05