Language:English
Grimsby Town v Bristol Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.33%39.62%39.58%41.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.66%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.562%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%33.99%34.02%35.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.752.9040.00%36.22%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.903%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.39%26.40%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.453.7031.25%29.11%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 39.52%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 34.11%; Draw: 26.37%. For Bristol Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.85%EV -3.97%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.49%EV -9.25%E -3.48%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -2.96%E -0.806%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 12:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -6.34%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -6.34%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 12:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.71%E -5.89%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 07:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 19:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.28%EV -13.85%E -6.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -13.85%E -6.35%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -1.75%E -0.608%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -15.04%E -6.99%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -15.04%E -6.99%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |