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Grimsby Town v Bristol Rovers

2026-09-12 11:30 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prediction 41.14%2.43fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.08%41.10%41.22%42.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3046.51%44.82%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.58%32.39%32.24%33.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.893.0037.04%34.89%34.60%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.824%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.51%26.54%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.6930.30%28.67%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grimsby Town (Local): 41.14%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 32.36%; Draw: 26.50%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.69, with an expected value of -2.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 22:58
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.93%E -0.976%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.47%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.02%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.81%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.81%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.02%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.64%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.28%EV -8.25%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -5.19%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.55%EV -2.22%E -0.601%K -0.824%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -8.25%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.08%EV -6.49%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -10.31%E -4.73%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.81%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.54%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 40.03%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%16.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05