默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grimsby Town v Bristol Rovers

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

最终结果: Grimsby Town 2–0 Bristol Rovers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grimsby Town (主队)

预测 39.52%2.53公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -2.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布
38.33%39.62%39.58%41.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.66%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bristol Rovers (客队)

预测 34.11%2.93公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.368%
Kelly -0.562%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.03%33.99%34.02%35.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.762.752.9040.00%36.22%36.36%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.37%3.79公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -0.659%
Kelly -0.903%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.44%26.39%26.40%27.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.443.453.7031.25%29.11%28.99%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Grimsby Town (主队):39.52%;Bristol Rovers (客队):34.11%;平局:26.37%。 对于“Bristol Rovers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.93。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.90,期望值为-1.07%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.85%EV -3.97%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.49%EV -9.25%E -3.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -2.96%E -0.806%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 23:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:10
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 12:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:35
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 12:28
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 12:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -6.34%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -6.34%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 04:40
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 08:44
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 20:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 20:10
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.13%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 11:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 12:28
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 12:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 20:09
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 20:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.71%E -5.89%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 23:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:51
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 07:39
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 19:45
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 04:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 19:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 17:16
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:40
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:40
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.28%EV -13.85%E -6.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -13.85%E -6.35%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -1.75%E -0.608%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -14.30%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -15.04%E -6.99%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -15.04%E -6.99%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -15.62%E -4.88%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 11:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%3.3%2026-09-09 16:50
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%4.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%4.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%4.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%4.9%2026-09-09 17:06