Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 6.00
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 59.09%; Barrow (Visit): 16.63%; Draw: 24.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.90%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.11%EV -1.71%E -0.289%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -3.63%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.84%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.88%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.68%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.81%E -5.01%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -13.51%E -2.60%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.14%EV -3.70%E -0.639%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -8.25%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.78%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -8.25%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -7.81%E -5.01%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.68%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -11.40%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -17.47%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |