La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Barrow

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 59.09%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -6.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.51%59.07%59.13%61.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.591.6266.67%63.24%62.89%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barrow (Visitante)

Predicción 16.63%6.01momio equitativo
EV -0.209%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.60%16.69%16.70%19.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.375.506.0021.05%18.63%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV +1.95%
Ventaja +0.464%
Kelly +0.609%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%24.24%24.16%25.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.803.754.2029.41%26.28%26.67%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%7.4%2026-03-21 14:19
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 12:29
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 12:29
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 13:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 15:25
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.90%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.11%EV -1.71%E -0.289%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -3.63%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 59.84%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.88%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:19
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:53
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.68%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.81%E -5.01%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -13.51%E -2.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 13:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.14%EV -3.70%E -0.639%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -8.25%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.78%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -8.25%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 11:59
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:45
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:45
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:14
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -7.81%E -5.01%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.68%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:15
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -11.40%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -17.47%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.1%2026-03-21 14:49