Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grimsby Town v Barrow

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prévision 59.09%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -6.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.51%59.07%59.13%61.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.591.6266.67%63.24%62.89%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barrow (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.63%6.01cote équitable
EV -0.209%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.60%16.69%16.70%19.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.375.506.0021.05%18.63%18.18%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV +1.95%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +0.609%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%24.24%24.16%25.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.803.754.2029.41%26.28%26.67%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grimsby Town (Local) : 59.09% ; Barrow (Visiteur) : 16.63% ; Match nul : 24.27%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +1.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%7.4%2026-03-21 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 12:29
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.37%E -0.760%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 13:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.54%E -0.610%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 15:25
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.90%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.11%EV -1.71%E -0.289%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -3.63%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.84%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.13%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.88%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -0.209%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:19
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:53
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -10.19%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 12:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.68%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.81%E -5.01%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -13.51%E -2.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 13:45
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.14%EV -3.70%E -0.639%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -8.25%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.78%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -8.25%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -4.27%E -2.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -20.17%E -4.20%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -21.00%E -4.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.87%E -0.317%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 12:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -7.81%E -5.01%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.68%E -2.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -11.40%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.35%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -8.53%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -17.47%E -5.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:39
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.1%2026-03-21 14:49