默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gillingham v Swindon Town

开赛时间: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gillingham (主队)

预测 33.85%2.95公平赔率
EV -1.82%
优势 -0.628%
Kelly -0.959%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.46%33.77%33.88%35.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.13%36.36%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Swindon Town (客队)

预测 38.48%2.60公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -2.00%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
36.61%38.54%38.44%40.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.362.372.5245.45%42.35%42.19%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.67%3.61公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.76%27.69%27.67%30.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.293.253.5034.72%30.42%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Gillingham (主队):33.85%;Swindon Town (客队):38.48%;平局:27.67%。 对于“Gillingham (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.95。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.90,期望值为-1.82%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:32
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -14.19%E -6.36%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.59%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%EV -3.03%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:44
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 19:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -7.04%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -10.96%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -20.32%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 19:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.5%2026-03-17 19:45