La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gillingham v Swindon Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 33.85%2.95momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.959%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.46%33.77%33.88%35.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.13%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Swindon Town (Visitante)
Predicción 38.48%2.60momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.61%38.54%38.44%40.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.372.5245.45%42.35%42.19%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.76%27.69%27.67%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.253.5034.72%30.42%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:32 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -14.19%E -6.36%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.59%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%EV -3.03%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.67%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -7.04%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -10.96%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -20.32%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |