La scuola delle quote

Gillingham v Swindon Town

Inizio: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gillingham (Casa)

Previsione 33.85%2.95quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -0.628%
Kelly -0.959%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.46%33.77%33.88%35.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.13%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Swindon Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.48%2.60quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.61%38.54%38.44%40.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.372.5245.45%42.35%42.19%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.67%3.61quota equa
EV -3.17%
Vantaggio -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.76%27.69%27.67%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.293.253.5034.72%30.42%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:32
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -14.19%E -6.36%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.59%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%EV -3.03%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:44
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 19:45
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -7.04%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:45
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -10.96%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -20.32%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.5%2026-03-17 19:45