مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gillingham v Swindon Town

البداية: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gillingham (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.85%2.95السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.628%
Kelly -0.959%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.46%33.77%33.88%35.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.13%36.36%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Swindon Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.48%2.60السعر العادل
EV -3.03%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.61%38.54%38.44%40.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.362.372.5245.45%42.35%42.19%39.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.67%3.61السعر العادل
EV -3.17%
الأفضلية -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.76%27.69%27.67%30.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.293.253.5034.72%30.42%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.81%E -3.72%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:32
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.93%EV -12.27%E -5.38%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -14.19%E -6.36%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -4.57%E -1.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.17%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:44
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -3.52%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -15.35%E -6.98%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.59%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%EV -3.03%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.80%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:44
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -10.34%E -4.44%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.42%E -5.97%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 19:45
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -6.50%E -2.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -7.04%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:45
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -9.58%E -4.07%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.13%EV -10.96%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -20.32%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.30%E -4.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.65%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 19:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.21%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.5%2026-03-17 19:45