Language:English
Gillingham v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 31.73%3.15fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%32.02%31.81%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.852.903.1040.00%35.03%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 39.72%2.52fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.06%39.40%39.65%41.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.6044.44%42.70%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.80%28.58%28.55%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.19%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 31.73%; Northampton Town (Visit): 39.72%; Draw: 28.55%. For Northampton Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -20.68%E -8.27%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV +3.27%E +1.26%K +2.05%G +0.067% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 02:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.18%EV -2.91%E -0.952%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -15.92%E -6.01%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.56%E -6.29%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.56%E -6.29%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.04%E -3.95%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -1.64%E -0.530%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |