Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gillingham v Northampton Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Score final : Gillingham 1–1 Northampton Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 31.73%3.15cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.88%32.02%31.81%36.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.903.1040.00%35.03%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Northampton Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.72%2.52cote équitable
EV +3.27%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.06%39.40%39.65%41.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.342.352.6044.44%42.70%42.55%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.55%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.860%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.80%28.58%28.55%29.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.19%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gillingham (Local) : 31.73% ; Northampton Town (Visiteur) : 39.72% ; Match nul : 28.55%. Pour Northampton Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.60, soit une espérance positive de +3.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -20.68%E -8.27%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV +3.27%E +1.26%K +2.05%G +0.067%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 12:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:55
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 13:05
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.18%EV -2.91%E -0.952%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 13:50
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 12:54
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:05
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:49
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -15.92%E -6.01%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.56%E -6.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.56%E -6.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:33
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:05
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 12:56
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.04%E -3.95%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:15
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -1.64%E -0.530%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:25
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:00
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:05
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%2.8%2026-08-29 13:45