Idioma:Español
Gillingham v Northampton Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 31.73%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.530%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.88%32.02%31.81%36.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.852.903.1040.00%35.03%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Northampton Town (Visitante)
Predicción 39.72%2.52momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.06%39.40%39.65%41.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.352.6044.44%42.70%42.55%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.80%28.58%28.55%29.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.19%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gillingham (Local): 31.73%; Northampton Town (Visitante): 39.72%; Empate: 28.55%. Para Northampton Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.52. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -20.68%E -8.27%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV +3.27%E +1.26%K +2.05%G +0.067% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 02:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.67%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.47%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.18%EV -2.91%E -0.952%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.86%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -6.26%E -2.65%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -15.92%E -6.01%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.56%E -6.29%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.56%E -6.29%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -7.45%E -3.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.92%E -4.24%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.99%EV -7.85%E -3.38%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.49%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.04%E -3.95%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -9.44%E -4.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -1.64%E -0.530%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.78%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.06%E -3.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |