Language:English
Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.19%26.10%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7230.30%28.77%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 46.02%2.17fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.40%45.96%46.00%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.11%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.88%3.59fair odd
EV +0.370%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.142%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.85%27.90%29.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.6033.33%30.74%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 26.10%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 46.02%; Draw: 27.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.370%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.370%E +0.103%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.370%E +0.103%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -2.91%E -0.781%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -7.50%E -3.73%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.86%E -0.529%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.42%E -4.23%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -6.88%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -3.17%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -7.50%E -3.73%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.72%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.34%E -4.74%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.10%E -6.34%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.36%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |