L’École des cotes

Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.781%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.19%26.10%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.503.7230.30%28.77%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.02%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.40%45.96%46.00%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.11%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.88%3.59cote équitable
EV +0.370%
Avantage +0.103%
Kelly +0.142%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.32%27.85%27.90%29.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.6033.33%30.74%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.370%E +0.103%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.370%E +0.103%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -2.91%E -0.781%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -7.50%E -3.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.86%E -0.529%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:19
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:25
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 18:55
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.42%E -4.23%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -6.88%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:40
1xBet3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -3.17%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -7.50%E -3.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.72%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 18:50
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:25
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.34%E -4.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:09
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 18:50
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 19:30
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:50
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 18:55
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:34
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.10%E -6.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.36%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-03-10 19:35