La escuela de los momios

Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.19%26.10%27.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.483.503.7230.30%28.77%28.57%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 46.02%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.40%45.96%46.00%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.11%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.88%3.59momio equitativo
EV +0.370%
Ventaja +0.103%
Kelly +0.142%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%27.85%27.90%29.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.6033.33%30.74%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.370%E +0.103%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +0.370%E +0.103%K +0.142%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -2.91%E -0.781%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -7.50%E -3.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.86%E -0.529%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:19
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.43%E -0.926%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:25
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 18:55
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.21%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.42%E -4.23%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -6.88%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:40
1xBet3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -3.17%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -7.50%E -3.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -7.72%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:40
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 18:50
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:25
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:35
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.04%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.34%E -4.74%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:09
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 18:50
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 19:30
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 18:50
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.39%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.26%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.69%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 18:55
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.26%E -5.26%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:34
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.56%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-10 19:35
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.87%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.65%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.10%E -6.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.36%E -5.45%K -8.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-03-10 19:35