Language:English
Gillingham v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gillingham (Local)
Prediction 44.75%2.23fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.47%44.88%44.83%47.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.042.052.1552.08%49.12%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +0.720%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.41%27.04%27.06%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.463.7530.77%28.57%28.90%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.05%3.56fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%28.07%28.11%30.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.273.5034.72%30.40%30.53%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gillingham (Local): 44.75%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 27.19%; Draw: 28.05%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -5.57%E -2.64%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -2.38%E -0.684%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.81%E -3.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.00%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.36%E -3.55%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -19.21%E -6.67%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.29% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |