مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gillingham v Accrington Stanley

البداية: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gillingham (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.75%2.23السعر العادل
EV -3.78%
الأفضلية -1.76%
Kelly -3.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.47%44.88%44.83%47.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.042.052.1552.08%49.12%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Accrington Stanley (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.19%3.68السعر العادل
EV +1.98%
الأفضلية +0.528%
Kelly +0.720%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.41%27.04%27.06%28.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.503.463.7530.77%28.57%28.90%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.05%3.56السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.520%
Kelly -0.728%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.24%28.07%28.11%30.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.293.273.5034.72%30.40%30.53%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:04
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:04
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:04
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 19:01
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:15
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 04:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 10:00
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 10:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:34
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -5.57%E -2.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -2.38%E -0.684%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:25
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 09:59
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.81%E -3.79%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.00%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 04:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 04:09
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 10:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 04:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 04:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:34
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.36%E -3.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -19.21%E -6.67%K -10.22%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.29%2.5%2026-04-06 13:50