La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gillingham v Accrington Stanley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 44.75%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.47%44.88%44.83%47.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.042.052.1552.08%49.12%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Accrington Stanley (Visitante)
Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.528%
Kelly +0.720%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.41%27.04%27.06%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.503.463.7530.77%28.57%28.90%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.05%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.520%
Kelly -0.728%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.07%28.11%30.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.273.5034.72%30.40%30.53%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -13.18%E -6.79%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -13.62%E -7.06%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +1.98%E +0.528%K +0.720%G +0.014% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV +0.619%E +0.167%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.10%E -0.583%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV -5.12%E -2.42%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.46%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 10:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -5.57%E -2.64%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.46%EV -5.64%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -2.38%E -0.684%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.78%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.06%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.81%E -3.79%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -7.00%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -6.87%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 10:00 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.25%E -4.03%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -7.36%E -3.55%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -10.49%E -5.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -19.21%E -6.67%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.02%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.62%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.29% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |