Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.24%53.31%53.28%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.741.8359.17%57.39%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 20.76%4.82fair odd
EV +0.880%
Edge +0.181%
Kelly +0.228%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%20.73%20.75%21.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.504.8625.00%22.56%22.22%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.81%25.96%25.97%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.503.7532.26%28.29%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 53.25%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 20.76%; Draw: 25.99%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.880%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.62%EV +0.880%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.44%EV +0.050%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -7.72%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.40%E -0.295%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -2.44%E -0.519%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.72%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -2.44%E -0.519%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.72%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.53%E -0.673%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.50%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.55%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.55%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -10.01%E -5.92%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.12%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.74%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.74%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -16.97%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -19.42%E -6.26%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.99% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.99% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.99% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |