L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 53.25%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.24%53.31%53.28%54.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.741.741.8359.17%57.39%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.76%4.82cote équitable
EV +0.880%
Avantage +0.181%
Kelly +0.228%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.44%20.73%20.75%21.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.504.8625.00%22.56%22.22%20.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.99%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.81%25.96%25.97%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.503.7532.26%28.29%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.62%EV +0.880%E +0.181%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.34%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 14:55
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.44%EV +0.050%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -7.72%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -1.40%E -0.295%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -2.44%E -0.519%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.72%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -2.44%E -0.519%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.72%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:54
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -4.52%E -0.982%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.53%E -0.673%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.50%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:53
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.32%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:54
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.48%E -5.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -6.59%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.62%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.55%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.55%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 14:50
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:54
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -10.01%E -5.92%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.67%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.12%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -10.74%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:15
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.41%E -4.89%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.74%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.94%E -5.23%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.78%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.42%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:50
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.82%E -3.05%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.02%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -7.88%E -4.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -16.97%E -4.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -19.42%E -6.26%K -9.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%2.3%2026-03-14 14:55