Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.605%
Kelly +0.778%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 4.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.06%22.73%22.99%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.044.004.4927.03%24.75%25.00%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 51.29%1.95fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.89%51.43%51.12%53.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.9058.82%55.09%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV +0.750%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +0.259%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.94%25.85%25.90%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.503.9029.41%28.28%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 22.88%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 51.29%; Draw: 25.83%. For Fleetwood Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.06%EV +2.71%E +0.605%K +0.778%G +0.021% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.73%E -5.53%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -0.946%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -11.27%E -6.51%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -1.63%E -0.379%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -10.75%E -6.18%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -4.93%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.78%E -0.653%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.78%E -0.653%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -12.81%E -7.53%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -7.12%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.73%E -5.53%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +0.750%E +0.192%K +0.259%G +0.002% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.83%E -0.482%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 09:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 09:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -4.60%E -2.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -4.60%E -2.47%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |