La escuela de los momios

Fleetwood Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Fleetwood Town 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV +2.71%
Ventaja +0.605%
Kelly +0.778%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.06%22.73%22.99%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.044.004.4927.03%24.75%25.00%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 51.29%1.95momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.89%51.43%51.12%53.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.831.9058.82%55.09%54.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.83%3.87momio equitativo
EV +0.750%
Ventaja +0.192%
Kelly +0.259%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.94%25.85%25.90%27.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.543.503.9029.41%28.28%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.06%EV +2.71%E +0.605%K +0.778%G +0.021%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.73%E -5.53%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -0.946%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -11.27%E -6.51%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -1.63%E -0.379%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -10.75%E -6.18%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -4.93%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.78%E -0.653%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.78%E -0.653%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -12.81%E -7.53%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -7.12%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.73%E -5.53%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +0.750%E +0.192%K +0.259%G +0.002%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:43
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.83%E -0.482%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:39
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:45
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:39
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 09:53
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 09:54
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 09:54
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -4.60%E -2.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -4.60%E -2.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55