L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Fleetwood Town 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.605%
Kelly +0.778%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.06%22.73%22.99%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.044.004.4927.03%24.75%25.00%22.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.29%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.89%51.43%51.12%53.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.831.9058.82%55.09%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.83%3.87cote équitable
EV +0.750%
Avantage +0.192%
Kelly +0.259%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.94%25.85%25.90%27.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.543.503.9029.41%28.28%28.57%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.06%EV +2.71%E +0.605%K +0.778%G +0.021%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.73%E -5.53%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -0.946%E -0.218%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -11.27%E -6.51%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -1.63%E -0.379%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -10.75%E -6.18%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -4.93%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.78%E -0.653%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.78%E -0.653%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:54
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:45
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -3.92%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -12.81%E -7.53%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:35
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.21%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -10.24%E -5.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:45
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -7.12%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -9.73%E -5.53%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +0.750%E +0.192%K +0.259%G +0.002%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -2.55%E -1.34%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:43
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.83%E -0.482%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:39
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -5.11%E -2.76%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 09:54
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:45
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:39
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 09:53
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 09:54
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.49%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.16%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 09:54
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -4.60%E -2.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -4.60%E -2.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.78%E -2.76%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.14%E -3.35%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -13.07%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -15.36%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -3.57%E -1.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55