Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.39%47.96%47.87%50.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.47%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV +0.308%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.70%25.38%25.44%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.703.9529.41%27.08%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.66%26.69%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.503.6032.26%28.72%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 47.87%; Crawley Town (Visit): 25.39%; Draw: 26.73%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.308%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV +0.308%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.03%EV -10.72%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.99%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.55%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |