La escuela de los momios

Fleetwood Town v Crawley Town

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Predicción 47.87%2.09momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.39%47.96%47.87%50.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.47%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Predicción 25.39%3.94momio equitativo
EV +0.308%
Ventaja +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.70%25.38%25.44%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.703.9529.41%27.08%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.66%26.69%28.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.6032.26%28.72%28.57%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV +0.308%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.03%EV -10.72%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 13:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:39
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:18
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:39
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:44
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:54
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.99%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.55%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:34
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:33
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 13:54
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:29
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-21 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-03-21 14:55