L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 47.87%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -4.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.39%47.96%47.87%50.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.47%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV +0.308%
Avantage +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.70%25.38%25.44%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.703.9529.41%27.08%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.66%26.69%28.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.503.6032.26%28.72%28.57%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV +0.308%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.03%EV -10.72%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 13:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:40
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 21:05
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -13.35%E -7.37%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 21:05
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:39
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:18
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:39
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -5.28%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:44
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:44
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.25%E -2.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:34
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:54
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.99%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.55%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 13:34
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:33
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 13:54
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:29
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 13:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -12.39%E -6.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -13.66%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.13%E -5.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-21 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-03-21 14:55