Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.53%50.03%50.11%51.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.831.9155.56%54.18%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV -0.920%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%22.86%22.87%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.104.3426.67%24.67%24.39%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%27.11%27.03%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.47%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 50.07%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 22.83%; Draw: 27.10%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.34, with an expected value of -0.920%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.97%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.97%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -2.98%E -0.700%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -2.98%E -0.700%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -0.920%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -5.71%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.21%EV -7.03%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.11%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -7.88%E -4.28%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.42%E -0.673%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.69%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.76%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.11%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -15.98%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |