La escuela de los momios

Fleetwood Town v Cheltenham Town

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Predicción 50.07%2.00momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -4.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.53%50.03%50.11%51.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.851.831.9155.56%54.18%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Predicción 22.83%4.38momio equitativo
EV -0.920%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -0.276%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.89%22.86%22.87%24.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.054.104.3426.67%24.67%24.39%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -0.932%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.11%27.03%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.47%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 18:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.97%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.97%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 18:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -2.98%E -0.700%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -2.98%E -0.700%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 18:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 18:55
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -0.920%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:25
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -5.71%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.21%EV -7.03%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:19
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.11%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -7.88%E -4.28%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 21:19
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.42%E -0.673%K -0.932%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:10
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.69%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.76%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 18:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.11%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-10 19:20
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 18:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -15.98%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-10 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-03-10 19:35