L’École des cotes

Fleetwood Town v Cheltenham Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 50.07%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -4.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.53%50.03%50.11%51.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.851.831.9155.56%54.18%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cheltenham Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.83%4.38cote équitable
EV -0.920%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.276%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.89%22.86%22.87%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.054.104.3426.67%24.67%24.39%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.932%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%27.11%27.03%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.47%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 18:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.97%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.87%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.97%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 18:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -2.98%E -0.700%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -2.98%E -0.700%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 18:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 18:55
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -0.920%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:25
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.60%EV -5.71%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.21%EV -7.03%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:19
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.11%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -7.88%E -4.28%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 21:19
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.42%E -0.673%K -0.932%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:10
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.69%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -5.26%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.76%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:19
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:25
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 18:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.11%E -3.14%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-10 19:20
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 21:19
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.12%E -0.980%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 18:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.53%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -15.98%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-10 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-03-10 19:35