Language:English
Exeter City v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.57%46.59%46.69%48.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.972.002.0554.35%50.78%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.92%25.91%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.603.7529.41%28.00%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%27.49%27.39%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.313.5531.25%29.93%30.21%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 46.65%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 25.90%; Draw: 27.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -2.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -6.23%E -3.10%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -3.91%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 06:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -2.56%E -0.720%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 04:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -7.63%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -12.76%E -6.82%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -13.69%E -7.40%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -14.16%E -7.70%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -14.16%E -7.70%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |