Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Exeter City v Accrington Stanley

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Exeter City 2–0 Accrington Stanley

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Exeter City (Local)

Previsão 46.65%2.14odd justa
EV -4.36%
Vantagem -2.13%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.57%46.59%46.69%48.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.972.002.0554.35%50.78%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Accrington Stanley (Visitante)

Previsão 25.90%3.86odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -0.767%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.97%25.92%25.91%26.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.573.603.7529.41%28.00%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.45%3.64odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -0.720%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.49%27.49%27.39%28.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.343.313.5531.25%29.93%30.21%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Exeter City (Local): 46.65%; Accrington Stanley (Visitante): 25.90%; Empate: 27.45%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.55, com valor esperado de -2.56%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 12:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 12:54
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 02:04
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 12:49
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 12:50
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -6.23%E -3.10%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -3.91%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 06:14
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -2.56%E -0.720%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 04:09
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:28
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:28
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 09:10
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:49
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 05:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 12:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:49
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 12:54
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 13:44
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -7.63%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 06:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 09:15
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 06:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 06:15
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:29
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -12.76%E -6.82%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -13.69%E -7.40%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -14.16%E -7.70%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -14.16%E -7.70%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-08-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-08-22 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-08-22 13:40
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-22 13:50