Idioma:Español
Exeter City v Accrington Stanley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Exeter City (Local)
Predicción 46.65%2.14momio equitativo
EV -4.36%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.57%46.59%46.69%48.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.841.972.002.0554.35%50.78%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Accrington Stanley (Visitante)
Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.97%25.92%25.91%26.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.573.603.7529.41%28.00%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.720%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.49%27.49%27.39%28.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.343.313.5531.25%29.93%30.21%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Exeter City (Local): 46.65%; Accrington Stanley (Visitante): 25.90%; Empate: 27.45%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.55, con un valor esperado de -2.56%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.63%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -6.23%E -3.10%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.21%EV -3.91%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 06:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -2.56%E -0.720%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 04:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -7.63%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -7.80%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.67%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -12.29%E -6.54%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -12.76%E -6.82%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -13.69%E -7.40%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -14.16%E -7.70%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -14.16%E -7.70%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.42%E -2.85%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |