Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crewe Alexandra v Walsall

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV -0.725%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.504%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.81%40.68%43.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.232.252.4448.31%44.77%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Walsall (Visit)

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -0.370%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%30.56%30.65%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.073.003.2534.72%32.58%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.754%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.63%28.67%30.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.84%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 40.69%; Walsall (Visit): 30.66%; Draw: 28.66%. For Walsall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.370%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -0.725%E -0.297%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -0.725%E -0.297%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.13%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:04
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -4.05%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -7.43%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.97%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:44
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.86%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.87%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -17.46%E -6.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-12 03:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.52%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:44
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-03-14 14:55