L’École des cotes

Crewe Alexandra v Walsall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 40.69%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%40.81%40.68%43.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.232.252.4448.31%44.77%44.44%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV -0.370%
Avantage -0.114%
Kelly -0.164%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%30.56%30.65%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.073.003.2534.72%32.58%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.66%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.754%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.63%28.67%30.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.84%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -0.725%E -0.297%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -0.725%E -0.297%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.13%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:04
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:04
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -4.05%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -7.43%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.97%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:44
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:54
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.86%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.87%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -17.46%E -6.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-12 03:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.52%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:44
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:24
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:25
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-03-14 14:55