La escuela de los momios

Crewe Alexandra v Walsall

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Predicción 40.69%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.504%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.81%40.68%43.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.232.252.4448.31%44.77%44.44%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -0.370%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.164%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%30.56%30.65%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.073.003.2534.72%32.58%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.66%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.754%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.63%28.67%30.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.84%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -0.725%E -0.297%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -0.725%E -0.297%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -4.85%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.13%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -3.44%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.57%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.65%E -2.90%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:04
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:04
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.42%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -4.05%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -7.43%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.97%EV -7.64%E -3.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.97%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 14:09
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:44
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:54
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.57%E -3.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.10%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -8.86%E -3.96%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -3.74%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.87%E -2.79%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -10.49%E -4.77%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -17.46%E -6.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-12 03:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.52%E -5.83%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 14:44
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -14.56%E -6.93%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -0.370%E -0.114%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 05:24
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:24
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:25
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -15.78%E -7.62%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -5.43%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 05:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%0.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%2.8%2026-03-14 14:55