Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 48.29%2.07fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%48.37%48.29%50.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.901.912.0056.50%52.69%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.694%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.81%24.89%24.89%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.783.754.1028.17%26.48%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.75%26.82%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.403.6230.77%29.00%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 48.29%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 24.92%; Draw: 26.79%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -11.14%E -6.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -11.14%E -6.06%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.339%E -0.085%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -14.04%E -7.89%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -2.83%E -0.726%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.31%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -3.83%E -0.992%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.16%EV -3.01%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.71%EV -8.73%E -4.62%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.61%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 14:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -8.73%E -4.62%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-18 11:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -6.80%E -3.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |