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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Crewe Alexandra v Shrewsbury Town

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Crewe Alexandra 1–1 Shrewsbury Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Previsão 48.29%2.07odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.90%48.37%48.29%50.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.901.912.0056.50%52.69%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Previsão 24.92%4.01odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.525%
Kelly +0.694%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.81%24.89%24.89%26.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.783.754.1028.17%26.48%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -0.832%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.92%26.75%26.82%27.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.453.403.6230.77%29.00%29.41%27.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 48.29%; Shrewsbury Town (Visitante): 24.92%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Shrewsbury Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.01. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -11.14%E -6.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -11.14%E -6.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.694%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.339%E -0.085%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:01
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.51%EV -13.56%E -7.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.65%EV -14.04%E -7.89%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -14.52%E -8.21%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -2.83%E -0.726%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:01
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.31%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -3.83%E -0.992%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.16%EV -3.01%E -0.832%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:40
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.71%EV -8.73%E -4.62%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.61%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 04:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.55%E -0.985%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 14:04
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:13
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:44
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -7.28%E -3.79%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 11:40
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.12%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.92%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 11:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 11:40
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 21:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -8.73%E -4.62%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.31%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -6.80%E -3.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 07:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-18 14:35
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-18 14:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%3.8%2026-09-18 14:40