Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Oldham Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.600%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%36.36%36.40%38.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.502.7241.67%39.90%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oldham Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 35.33%2.83fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%35.39%35.26%36.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.622.7140.82%38.08%38.17%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.502%
Kelly +0.695%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%28.25%28.34%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.223.6034.72%30.77%31.06%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 36.39%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 35.33%; Draw: 28.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -7.07%E -2.69%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +1.81%E +0.502%K +0.695%G +0.013% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.31%E -3.30%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.70%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.31%E -3.30%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.70%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -6.39%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -6.13%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.94%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -6.13%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.94%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -1.03%E -0.379%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -1.03%E -0.379%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.78%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.01%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -13.43%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |