Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra v Oldham Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Crewe Alexandra (Local)

Prévision 36.39%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.379%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.05%36.36%36.40%38.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.7241.67%39.90%40.00%36.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.33%2.83cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.68%35.39%35.26%36.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.622.7140.82%38.08%38.17%36.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +0.502%
Kelly +0.695%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%28.25%28.34%29.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.223.6034.72%30.77%31.06%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Crewe Alexandra (Local) : 36.39% ; Oldham Athletic (Visiteur) : 35.33% ; Match nul : 28.28%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +1.81%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -7.07%E -2.69%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +1.81%E +0.502%K +0.695%G +0.013%6.6%2026-03-27 21:35
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 21:14
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 21:34
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:15
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.31%E -3.30%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.70%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.31%E -3.30%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.70%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 01:05
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -6.39%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 21:20
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 21:29
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 21:39
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 21:35
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 21:39
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-27 21:35
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-27 21:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 21:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 21:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -6.13%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.94%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 21:30
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -6.13%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.94%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -1.03%E -0.379%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 21:10
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -1.03%E -0.379%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 21:19
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:15
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:15
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:14
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:14
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:15
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.78%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.01%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 21:20
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 21:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 21:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -13.43%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-27 21:10
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-28 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-27 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-28 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-28 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-03-27 23:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%2.6%2026-03-28 01:05