La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Crewe Alexandra v Oldham Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.379%
Kelly -0.600%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%36.36%36.40%38.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.7241.67%39.90%40.00%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Oldham Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 35.33%2.83momio equitativo
EV -4.24%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.68%35.39%35.26%36.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.622.7140.82%38.08%38.17%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV +1.81%
Ventaja +0.502%
Kelly +0.695%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%28.25%28.34%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.223.6034.72%30.77%31.06%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -7.07%E -2.69%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +1.81%E +0.502%K +0.695%G +0.013% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.67%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.31%E -3.30%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.70%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.31%E -3.30%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.70%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV -6.39%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.40%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 21:29 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 21:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -6.13%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.94%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -6.13%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.94%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -1.03%E -0.379%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -1.03%E -0.379%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -10.96%E -4.35%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.22%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 21:19 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.60%EV -11.58%E -4.77%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.78%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.01%EV -8.13%E -3.13%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -4.60%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -3.58%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -13.43%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.04%E -3.61%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.90%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.66%E -4.67%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.14% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |