Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.14%43.05%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.87%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%28.86%28.95%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.183.203.4032.79%31.45%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV +0.562%
Edge +0.156%
Kelly +0.216%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%28.00%28.00%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.6032.26%30.30%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 43.14%; Northampton Town (Visit): 28.92%; Draw: 27.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.562%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +0.562%E +0.156%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.66%E -0.490%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.98%EV -4.75%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.12%EV -7.16%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -4.75%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.26%E -4.93%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -5.71%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 04:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 04:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 09:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -8.97%E -4.25%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 04:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 04:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.26%E -4.93%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -10.69%E -5.17%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 06:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 06:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |