Idioma:Español
Crewe Alexandra v Northampton Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.08%43.14%43.05%45.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.87%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Northampton Town (Visitante)
Predicción 28.92%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%28.86%28.95%29.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.183.203.4032.79%31.45%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.562%
Ventaja +0.156%
Kelly +0.216%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.02%28.00%28.00%29.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.303.303.6032.26%30.30%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 43.14%; Northampton Town (Visitante): 28.92%; Empate: 27.93%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.58. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.562%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +0.562%E +0.156%K +0.216%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.71%E -6.86%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.66%E -0.490%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.98%EV -4.75%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.12%EV -7.16%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -4.75%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -6.38%E -2.94%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -10.26%E -4.93%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -5.71%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 04:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 04:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 09:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -8.97%E -4.25%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 04:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 04:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.40%E -4.48%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.26%E -4.93%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -10.69%E -5.17%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.21%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 06:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 06:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.53%E -4.03%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -11.55%E -5.64%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 19:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |