Language:English
Crewe Alexandra v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crewe Alexandra (Local)
Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -0.462%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%27.24%27.51%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.6331.25%29.33%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 46.47%2.15fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.21%46.53%46.38%48.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0554.64%51.11%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.096%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%26.24%26.11%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.8232.26%28.68%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crewe Alexandra (Local): 27.42%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 46.47%; Draw: 26.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.82, with an expected value of -0.270%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -0.462%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.92%E -4.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -16.46%E -5.14%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -2.66%E -0.748%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -12.17%E -6.44%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -11.24%E -5.88%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -13.56%E -7.29%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -14.03%E -7.58%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:47 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -9.84%E -5.07%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -14.96%E -8.17%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -6.22%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.03%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.793%E -0.209%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -10.31%E -5.34%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.77%E -5.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.24%E -5.88%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -19.07%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -0.270%E -0.071%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.99%E -4.03%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.63%E -6.72%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.24%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -8.45%E -4.29%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.38%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |